President Obama And The Democratic Political Lean

by Roby Brock ([email protected]) 196 views 

President Barack Obama appears safe with First District Democratic primary voters, who offer insight on their political leanings in our latest survey.

In the latest Talk Business-Hendrix College Poll, conducted on Tuesday and Wednesday April 24-25, 2012, nearly two-thirds of 497 likely Democratic primary voters in Arkansas’ First Congressional District said they would vote for Obama.

Q: There will be two Democrats on the ballot for President during the May 22 primary: Barack Obama and John Wolfe. If the election were today, for whom would you vote?

65% – Barack Obama
24% – John Wolfe
11% – Don’t know

Obama has been embattled in Arkansas throughout his Presidency, but he has always fared well with Democratic voters. In this latest survey, challenger John Wolfe still receives nearly one-fourth of the vote. Wolfe is a Tennessee attorney who has filed for U.S. President in several states.

Talk Business and Hendrix College also asked likely Democratic primary voters to self-describe their political leanings.

Q: How would you describe your political leanings?

22.5% – Liberal or Progressive
40.5% – Conservative
37% – Moderate

Dr. Jay Barth, with the Hendrix College Department of Politics and International Relations, helped craft and analyze the poll.

“President Obama is obviously a weak Arkansas candidate but despite the fact that the First is filled with moderate and conservative ‘Blue Dog’ Democrats, he remains relatively popular with Arkansas Democrats. That has been shown in previous statewide polling and shows itself in this poll,” Barth said.

The poll was conducted by Talk Business Research and Hendrix College on Tuesday and Wednesday, April 24-25, 2012. The poll, which has a margin of error of +/-4.4%, was completed using IVR survey technology among 497 likely Democratic voters in Arkansas’ First Congressional District.

Participants were selected from a database of district voters who have voted in some or all of the last 5 Democratic primary elections and who affirmatively answered a question that they intended to vote in the Democratic primary on May 22, 2012.

All media outlets are welcome to reprint, reproduce, or rebroadcast information from this poll with proper attribution to Talk Business and Hendrix College.

For interviews, Brock can be reached by email at [email protected]. Barth can be contacted at [email protected].