The Hill, a D.C.-based political news journal, takes a look at the daunting task Democrats face on where to spend their multi-million dollar war chest.
With the rising tide of Republican prospects, national Democrats are worrying over how to maintain their majority – a "robust majority" – and that means calculating where to spend party money in races where they can hold or gain seats. Senator Blanche Lincoln’s Arkansas seat is a top gain for Republicans, but is it a top hold for Democrats?
From The Hill:
Where to prioritize Lincoln’s race is one of several difficult decisions Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) Chairman Robert Menendez (N.J.) has to make to fend off an anticipated anti-incumbent wave in November.
Democratic strategists say Menendez will have to look past his relationships with colleagues and focus the committee’s money where it is likely to have the biggest impact.
Menendez declined to say how much he would commit to Arkansas and other battlegrounds. He said decisions would depend on how those races play out.
A senior Democratic aide said Menendez would limit the money he spends in Arkansas but would not hold back in California.
“Lincoln won’t get millions and millions of dollars, but she’ll get more than a token,” said the aide. “She might get more if she tightens up the race.
As we’ve reported, Lincoln’s poll numbers have hovered in the 30′s, while her Republican challenger, Cong. John Boozman, has seen a sizable lead with numbers over 50 percent.
But Lincoln does enjoy a fundraising advantage over Boozman. In their June 30 reports, Lincoln had about $1.8 million cash on hand compared to Boozman’s $484,000. Those numbers have certainly changed since that report, but you have to wonder if the spread has altered dramatically.
The Hill quotes Democratic political consultant Robert McLarty, who provides analysis for Talk Business’ polling results. McLarty thinks the Democrats won’t abandon Lincoln’s race.
“The DSCC is going to be looking at this race,” McLarty said. “The internal polls have this race a lot closer than the public polls.
“If this race tightens, I expect them to put in the resources,” he added, noting that Lincoln had just won a bitterly contested primary and was putting her skills as a retail campaigner to work.
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